Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Sporting Mahonés vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 0
MHN
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MHN
4 - 0
ART
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 1
MHN
28%
28%
45%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
MHN
4 - 0
MER
66%
21%
14%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MHN
3 - 1
ALC
60%
24%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 0
MHN
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 2
UDM
22%
27%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
HUA
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CDA
1 - 1
UDM
27%
27%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 1
OBE
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |