Sporting Guardés vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UDA
0 - 0
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
VEL
60%
21%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UDO
1 - 0
CUL
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 3
UDO
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UDO
3 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PSC
1 - 2
UDO
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDO
2 - 2
VER
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |