SP Guardes vs Goian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Guardes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 4
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
GUA
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
ERI
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Goian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 0
TOM
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
GOI
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 0
CHO
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 4
GOI
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 3
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |