SP Falcons vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
HFC
1 - 1
SPF
14%
17%
69%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPF
0 - 0
ULA
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
3 - 1
KHA
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -3 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
KHO
0 - 8
SPF
29%
21%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BSI
0 - 3
DER
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KHO
3 - 0
BSI
64%
16%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 20
BSI
53%
19%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BSI
2 - 1
KHC
38%
21%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ERC
4 - 1
BSI
83%
10%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |