Plaza de Argel A vs Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza de Argel A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MED
2 - 2
PLA
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PLA
2 - 3
GAB
31%
20%
49%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 5
PLA
22%
19%
60%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 2
AGO
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
INM
1 - 3
PLA
43%
21%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
OBR
2 - 4
ASP
20%
18%
62%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PET
1 - 0
OBR
38%
21%
42%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
COC
6 - 0
OBR
83%
10%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
OBR
3 - 2
MED
77%
12%
11%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 2
OBR
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +1 |