Sovicese vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
71.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sovicese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 1
SOV
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOV
1 - 2
BRI
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LIS
8 - 0
SOV
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
5 - 0
SOV
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOV
0 - 2
DOM
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
NOV
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
COL
18%
21%
62%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 1
NOV
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PON
1 - 3
NOV
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |