Sovicese vs Brianza Cernusco Merate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sovicese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LIS
8 - 0
SOV
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
5 - 0
SOV
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOV
0 - 2
DOM
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
SOV
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SOV
0 - 1
CAS
10%
17%
74%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Brianza Cernusco Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
LUC
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 2
VIM
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BIA
2 - 1
BRI
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 3
COL
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 4
BRI
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |