Soutopenedo vs Toen FS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Soutopenedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 1
SOU
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
RAN
50%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LOB
4 - 0
SOU
53%
22%
25%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 3
ALL
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 3
OUT
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOE
1 - 2
MUI
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RAL
1 - 1
TOE
40%
24%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TOE
2 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 2
TOE
39%
22%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TOE
1 - 4
ABO
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -2 |