Southport vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
HER
4 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
HYD
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
NUN
28%
25%
48%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 1
SOU
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHE
30%
23%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 0
HAL
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 1
ALD
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
WRE
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
HYD
2 - 5
WRE
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
WRE
2 - 3
ALF
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |