Southport vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 3
SOU
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 3
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SOU
4 - 1
HYD
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DRO
0 - 3
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GAT
1 - 0
AFC
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAM
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 2
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
AFC
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
5 - 0
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |