Southern District Reserve vs Yuen Long Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
KIT
4 - 1
SOU
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 2
SCH
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PEG
1 - 1
SOU
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
WTS
5 - 1
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 3
DRE
7%
11%
82%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Yuen Long Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
YLO
0 - 15
RRE
7%
11%
83%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ESA
4 - 2
YLO
82%
12%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
YLO
0 - 2
KIT
12%
15%
72%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 2
YLO
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
YLO
1 - 10
PEG
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -2 |