Southern District Reserve vs Tuen Mun Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
KIT
2 - 4
SOU
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
PEG
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
HVR
0 - 5
SOU
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
RRE
2 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tuen Mun Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SCR
1 - 2
TMR
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
KIT
2 - 3
TMR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
TMR
2 - 4
PEG
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
TMR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
ESA
1 - 2
TMR
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |