Southern District Reserve vs Sun Pegasus Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
76%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
WTP
4 - 0
SOU
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
YLO
4 - 0
SOU
82%
11%
8%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 4
GLO
8%
17%
75%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
ESA
0 - 1
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
SOU
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 2
PEG
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PEG
0 - 6
GLO
16%
22%
63%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 2
SCH
62%
18%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 1
YLO
87%
9%
5%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 0
PEG
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |