Southern District Reserve vs Kitchee Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
74.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 1
GUA
51%
20%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PEG
1 - 0
SOU
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
YLO
1 - 6
SOU
77%
13%
11%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 4
PEG
15%
16%
69%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 5
SOU
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
KIT
7 - 1
RRE
62%
17%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
ESA
1 - 3
KIT
12%
15%
72%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
KIT
2 - 0
ESA
85%
10%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
RRE
2 - 0
KIT
36%
20%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
KIT
2 - 1
WFR
81%
11%
8%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |