Southern District Reserve vs Kitchee Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
73.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
SOU
6 - 2
YLO
81%
12%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
KIT
4 - 1
SOU
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 2
SCH
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PEG
1 - 1
SOU
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
WTS
5 - 1
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
WTS
4 - 1
KIT
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
KIT
4 - 1
SOU
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
RRE
5 - 3
KIT
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
KIT
2 - 0
ESA
81%
11%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
YLO
0 - 2
KIT
12%
15%
72%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |