Southern District Reserve vs Happy Valley Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 3
RRE
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 11
DRE
14%
20%
65%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SCR
6 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
YLO
1 - 2
SOU
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Happy Valley Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SCR
1 - 2
HVR
64%
19%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RRE
2 - 0
HVR
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ESA
3 - 1
HVR
20%
21%
60%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
HVR
2 - 1
TMR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
PEG
1 - 2
HVR
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |