Southern District vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
7º
5º
11
6º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
WTP
2 - 2
SDI
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NDT
2 - 3
SDI
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SDI
2 - 2
BIU
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SDI
0 - 1
WAR
37%
25%
39%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SDI
1 - 3
KFC
38%
25%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
HON
0 - 4
WAR
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KFC
3 - 1
HON
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
HON
1 - 4
BIU
22%
20%
58%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NDT
3 - 1
HON
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
HON
1 - 3
BIU
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |