Southern District vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SDI
1 - 1
SCA
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
YOK
2 - 2
SDI
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SDI
1 - 2
PFC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SDI
1 - 1
ISK
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
KFC
4 - 0
SDI
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YOK
3 - 2
CAA
42%
24%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ISK
2 - 1
CAA
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BIU
2 - 2
CAA
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 2
KFC
20%
25%
56%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 2
CAA
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |