Southampton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
2º
26
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
3 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
AVI
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
EXE
2 - 1
SOU
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
6 - 2
SOU
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MID
2 - 4
LUS
22%
22%
55%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
WBA
5 - 2
MID
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
NWC
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MID
1 - 3
NOR
17%
21%
63%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |