Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
2º
1
10º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 3
SOU
29%
24%
48%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
8 - 1
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
3 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
AVI
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
STC
4 - 0
DCO
72%
15%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 2
AVI
16%
17%
67%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 1
NOT
33%
22%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
DCO
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WBA
2 - 1
DCO
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |