Southampton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1928 |
POR
1 - 2
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
MID
1 - 2
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
SOU
4 - 0
PNE
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
REA
0 - 1
SOU
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
SOU
1 - 1
TOT
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
BAR
2 - 1
OLD
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
OLD
1 - 3
MID
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
PNE
3 - 2
OLD
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1928 |
OLD
0 - 1
HUL
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
OLD
2 - 1
REA
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |