Southampton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
NOT
0 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1927 |
SOU
1 - 3
LEY
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1927 |
LEE
2 - 0
SOU
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1927 |
LEY
2 - 0
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
SOU
3 - 6
STO
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
OLD
3 - 1
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1927 |
OLD
6 - 0
BPO
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1927 |
BRI
2 - 1
OLD
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1927 |
BPO
1 - 2
OLD
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
OLD
3 - 1
WBA
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |