Southampton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1924 |
SOU
3 - 1
OLD
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
OLD
1 - 3
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRY
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
SOU
0 - 0
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
CRY
0 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1924 |
SOU
3 - 1
OLD
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
OLD
1 - 3
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
POR
3 - 0
OLD
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
BRI
0 - 0
OLD
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
OLD
2 - 0
POR
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |