South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+144%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
2º
1º
28
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 2
OAK
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 0
ALM
78%
14%
7%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 0
SOU
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 0
MNG
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HUM
0 - 1
SOU
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
GRE
30%
23%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 0
DAC
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 1
OAK
8%
17%
75%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 4
ALM
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
HEU
2 - 0
DAN
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |