South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+144%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
SOU
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
OAK
1 - 1
SOU
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
ELS
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HEU
0 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 1
POR
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ELS
1 - 2
DAN
14%
17%
69%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 2
BEN
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
DAN
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 1
DAC
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |