South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+260%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
BUL
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
POR
4 - 2
SOU
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 3
AVH
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 2
SOU
23%
20%
58%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 3
GRE
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
DAN
3 - 4
BEN
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
DAN
2 - 0
MEL
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 2
DAN
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
DAN
3 - 2
PAS
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
OAK
2 - 1
DAN
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |