South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+260%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
AVH
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
SOU
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAS
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HUM
0 - 1
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 1
NGW
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
OAK
4 - 2
DAN
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
6 - 1
NOR
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AVH
3 - 2
DAN
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
POR
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |