South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+215%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
WEC
0 - 1
SOU
12%
18%
71%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAS
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
BEN
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BRD
1 - 2
SOU
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 1
BRD
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 3
WEC
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
DAN
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
OAK
6 - 0
DAN
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
DAN
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |