South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+239%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 4
BEN
42%
25%
32%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 2
SOU
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 0
SOU
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 0
DAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 1
SOU
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
DAN
22%
23%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |