South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SOU
42%
25%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
HUM
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 3
SOU
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 3
RIC
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 2
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DAN
5 - 0
HEU
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 3
DAN
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DAN
3 - 1
NOR
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
DAN
4 - 1
MZA
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
DAN
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |