South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+272%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HUM
5 - 0
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
RIC
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
SOU
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
OAK
1 - 2
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 1
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
VTC
0 - 6
DAN
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 3
DAN
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 3
GRE
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
DAN
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |