South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+181%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 3
SOU
26%
27%
48%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
WHZ
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
RIC
2 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
30%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 0
ALM
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
FAB
1 - 0
SOU
16%
24%
60%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |