South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis

South Melbourne Dandenong Thunder SC
45 ELO 30
4% Tilt -10.3%
3261º General ELO ranking 4991º
28º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
78.3%
South Melbourne
14.1%
Draw
7.6%
Dandenong Thunder SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
South Melbourne
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.6%
Win probability
Dandenong Thunder SC
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
South Melbourne
-32%
+181%
Dandenong Thunder SC

ELO progression

South Melbourne
Dandenong Thunder SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Melbourne
South Melbourne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2008
FRA
Frankston Pines
1 - 3
South Melbourne
SOU
26%
27%
48%
46 30 16 0
17 Aug. 2008
SOU
South Melbourne
1 - 1
Whittlesea Zebras
WHZ
71%
18%
12%
46 39 7 0
08 Aug. 2008
RIC
Richmond
2 - 0
South Melbourne
SOU
44%
25%
30%
43 38 5 +3
03 Aug. 2008
SOU
South Melbourne
1 - 0
Altona Magic
ALM
70%
18%
12%
43 37 6 0
27 Jul. 2008
FAB
Fawkner Blues
1 - 0
South Melbourne
SOU
16%
24%
60%
44 22 22 -1