South Hobart vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 1
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 0
TIZ
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 5
SOU
8%
14%
78%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
LAU
0 - 8
SOU
8%
13%
79%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 2
OLY
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 5
TUG
69%
16%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
TUG
0 - 3
COO
12%
16%
71%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CAN
4 - 1
TUG
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CAN
5 - 3
TUG
56%
20%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
TUG
1 - 3
CAN
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |