South Hobart vs Tilford Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 5
SOU
8%
14%
78%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
LAU
0 - 8
SOU
8%
13%
79%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 2
OLY
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
DEV
1 - 4
SOU
20%
19%
61%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SOU
6 - 0
KIN
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Tilford Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
TIZ
4 - 0
DEV
73%
16%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
TIZ
5 - 2
GLE
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
KIN
0 - 3
TIZ
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
TIZ
12 - 0
LAU
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 4
TIZ
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |