South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
SOU
6 - 2
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 3
SOU
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 0
DEV
73%
15%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KIN
1 - 4
SOU
11%
16%
74%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 3
NOR
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 4
TIZ
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 6
GLE
60%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 2
OLY
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DEV
2 - 0
GLE
86%
9%
4%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 4
KIN
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |