FC South End vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC South End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
SEN
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 3
TBU
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
TBU
2 - 2
SEN
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
ANN
0 - 2
SEN
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 2
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
CON
0 - 0
DEF
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
UPT
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
UPT
1 - 1
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
TBU
0 - 0
DEF
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |