South China Reserve vs Sun Pegasus Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
KIT
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 0
YLO
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
TMR
2 - 4
PEG
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 5
RRE
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SCR
3 - 0
PEG
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
KIT
0 - 0
PEG
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
PEG
3 - 1
YLO
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |