South China AA vs HK Sapling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 2
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
58 | 92 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
CER
0 - 1
SCA
12%
17%
71%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
MBS
0 - 3
SCA
24%
22%
53%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SDI
2 - 3
SCA
51%
23%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 1
YAN
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 2
HON
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 2
HON
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
5 - 1
HON
79%
14%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
WTP
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |