South China AA vs HK Sapling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SHS
2 - 4
SCA
27%
23%
50%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
3 - 3
SCA
19%
22%
60%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 0
PFC
49%
22%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SCA
2 - 0
KFC
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 2
SCA
35%
21%
43%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
HON
2 - 3
KFC
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
YOK
4 - 0
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
SHS
5 - 0
HON
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |