South China AA vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
EAD
1 - 2
SCA
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
4 - 0
SHA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
3 - 3
SCA
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
WON
1 - 2
SCA
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SCA
3 - 2
HON
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CWD
1 - 4
HON
8%
13%
78%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SHA
3 - 4
HON
6%
11%
83%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HON
1 - 3
EAD
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SHA
0 - 3
HON
5%
11%
84%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HON
4 - 3
CAA
85%
10%
5%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |