Sousense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
GON
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TIR
1 - 1
SOU
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
COI
4 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SOB
3 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARO
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AMA
3 - 0
SOB
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GON
1 - 1
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
CIN
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
8%
16%
76%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | +2 |