Sousense U19 vs Valadares Gaia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
1º
23
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
NOG
1 - 2
SOU
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 2
ESP
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 3
SOU
29%
21%
51%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LEX
0 - 2
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
LAM
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LEX
33%
22%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 4
VAL
7%
13%
79%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PAD
60%
19%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NOG
3 - 2
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |