Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 4-4
Sousa vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
SDJ
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |