Sousa vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.2%
72.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
FLA
2 - 0
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1994 |
GUA
0 - 0
FLA
57%
24%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLA
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
FLA
0 - 3
FLU
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |