Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
AUT
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 0
SOU
15%
20%
66%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAM
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CSP
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 2
CSP
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
0 - 1
BOT
9%
22%
69%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
1 - 1
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
1 - 1
CAM
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |