Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
IPB
2 - 3
SOU
21%
21%
59%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AUT
0 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 2
CAM
22%
27%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
CSP
2 - 0
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CSP
33%
26%
40%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
IPB
1 - 2
CSP
24%
21%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CSP
1 - 0
BOT
15%
24%
61%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |