Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 4
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CSP
2 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LUC
4 - 0
CSP
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CSP
1 - 0
AUT
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CSP
1 - 2
TRE
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 3
CSP
13%
18%
69%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | +1 |