Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
AUT
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 5
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 2
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
COT
9%
18%
74%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 0
CSP
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
CSP
0 - 1
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CSP
2 - 0
CAM
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CSP
1 - 1
TRE
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 3
CSP
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |