Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
ECP
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
57%
21%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 2
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
FLA
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
CSP
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
CSP
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSP
2 - 2
NAC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
CSP
2 - 1
ECP
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
AUT
0 - 3
CSP
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |