Sousa vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
CSP
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
IPB
2 - 3
SOU
21%
21%
59%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 2
COR
40%
28%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
COR
2 - 3
SDJ
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
CSE
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
MIG
0 - 4
COR
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 2
COR
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |